When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or “P/E’s”) below 24x, you may consider Aptus Value Housing Finance India Limited (NSE:APTUS) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 27.1x P/E ratio. Although, it’s not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it’s as high as it is.
With earnings growth that’s superior to most other companies of late, Aptus Value Housing Finance India has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You’d really hope so, otherwise you’re paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Is There Enough Growth For Aptus Value Housing Finance India?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Aptus Value Housing Finance India would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 33% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 112% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% per annum during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it’s alarming that Aptus Value Housing Finance India’s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren’t willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
We’d say the price-to-earnings ratio’s power isn’t primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We’ve established that Aptus Value Housing Finance India currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren’t likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it’s very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Aptus Value Housing Finance India is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those shouldn’t be ignored.
It’s important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Find out whether Aptus Value Housing Finance India is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.