The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. To wit, the PNB Housing Finance Limited (NSE:PNBHOUSING) share price has flown 176% in the last three years. How nice for those who held the stock! On top of that, the share price is up 38% in about a quarter. The company reported its financial results recently; you can catch up on the latest numbers by reading our company report.
After a strong gain in the past week, it’s worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
Check out our latest analysis for PNB Housing Finance
To quote Buffett, ‘Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace…’ One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
PNB Housing Finance was able to grow its EPS at 6.6% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 40% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. So it’s fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It’s not unusual to see the market ‘re-rate’ a stock, after a few years of growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
It’s probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It’s always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on PNB Housing Finance’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We’ve already covered PNB Housing Finance’s share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for PNB Housing Finance shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 302%, over the last 3 years, is better than the share price return.
A Different Perspective
It’s nice to see that PNB Housing Finance shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 163% over the last year. That certainly beats the loss of about 5% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we’ve spotted with PNB Housing Finance .
We will like PNB Housing Finance better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.